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How many copies did Super Robot Wars 30 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 162k–263k
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$11.0M before Steam's cut
from 7k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Super Robot Wars 30 and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Super Robot Wars 30's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 15k–1.4M
best case 2.9M (Persona 4 Golden)
Games like Super Robot Wars 30

A typical game among these

≈ 15k–1.4M copies

≈ $86k–$11.1M after Steam's cut

from ~886 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 3 similar games is a hit.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Persona 4 Golden at ≈ 2.2M–3.5M copies, ≈ $12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 207 reviews in their first month; the range was 15 to 19k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share JRPG (3 of 3) and Story Rich (3 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with JRPG + Story Rich, priced around $20.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Persona 4 Golden
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
99x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
88k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
JRPGGreat Soundtrack
Wolfstride
2021
Est. copies
≈ 22k–36k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$91k–$244k after Steam's cut $165k–$375k before Steam's cut
$14.99
886 reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsRobots
Alder Forge
2023
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$14.99
22 reviews
Positive
JRPGAnime

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