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How big is Lords Mobile: Kingdom Wars?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 170k–276k
from 6k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lords Mobile: Kingdom Wars and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lords Mobile: Kingdom Wars's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 171k–2.4M
best case 4.7M (Soundpad)
Games like Lords Mobile: Kingdom Wars

A typical game among these

≈ 171k–2.4M copies

≈ $1.6M–$9.3M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is NSFW (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Soundpad at ≈ 3.6M–5.9M copies, ≈ $4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 20 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share NSFW (2 of 8) and Racing (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Utilities + Audio Production, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
Disney•Pixar Toy Story 3: The Video Game
2014
Est. copies
≈ 118k–192k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Family FriendlyAdventure
Pizza Tower
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
7.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.7M after Steam's cut $18.0M–$41.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
73k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great Soundtrack2D Platformer
Soundpad
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
105k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
UtilitiesAudio Production
Furry Feet
2021
Est. copies
≈ 51k–82k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$42k–$112k after Steam's cut $76k–$172k before Steam's cut
$2.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Sexual ContentCasual
Disney•Pixar Cars
2015
Est. copies
≈ 143k–232k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$785k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
RacingStory Rich
Garfield Kart
2015
Est. copies
≈ 691k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$948k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Cult ClassicCombat Racing
Total War: PHARAOH
2023
Est. copies
≈ 134k–219k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
5k reviews
Mixed
StrategyRTS

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