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How many copies did Horse Riding Tales sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 16k–27k
from 569 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Horse Riding Tales and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Horse Riding Tales's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 189k–36.3M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Horse Riding Tales

A typical game among these

≈ 189k–36.3M copies

≈ $47.9M–$443.5M after Steam's cut

from ~186k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 179 to 17k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (5 of 8) and Realistic (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Forza Horizon 4
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
303k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
Red Dead Redemption 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 26.6M–43.2M
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$438.4M–$1178.6M after Steam's cut $797.0M–$1813.3M before Steam's cut
$59.99
923k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldStory Rich
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Rustler: Prologue
2020
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
387 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionIndie
Blood of Steel
2020
Est. copies
≈ 171k–278k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
Hack and SlashRPG
Wild Terra Online
2017
Est. copies
≈ 64k–103k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Mixed
Massively MultiplayerRPG
Red Dead Online
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$9.5M–$25.5M after Steam's cut $17.2M–$39.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
69k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldMultiplayer

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