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How many copies did Ritual: Crown of Horns sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$12k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut
from 73 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ritual: Crown of Horns and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ritual: Crown of Horns's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6k–80k
best case 2.1M (HELLDIVERS™ Dive Harder Edition)
Games like Ritual: Crown of Horns

A typical game among these

≈ 6k–80k copies

≈ $18k–$441k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: HELLDIVERS™ Dive Harder Edition at ≈ 1.6M–2.7M copies, ≈ $9.0M–$24.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 108 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 431.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Top-Down Shooter (6 of 8) and Twin Stick Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Top-Down Shooter, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Kill The Crows
2023
Est. copies
≈ 79k–128k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$108k–$291k after Steam's cut $197k–$447k before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionWestern
Colt Canyon
2020
Est. copies
≈ 53k–86k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$218k–$585k after Steam's cut $396k–$900k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
WesternBlood
HELLDIVERS™ Dive Harder Edition
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
26x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$9.0M–$24.1M after Steam's cut $16.3M–$37.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpCo-op
Westild's Law
2024
Est. copies
≈ 769–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$5.99
31 reviews
Positive
West of Dead
2020
Est. copies
≈ 55k–90k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$304k–$817k after Steam's cut $553k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Replay ValueRogue-like
A Fistful of Gun
2015
Est. copies
≈ 24k–39k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$66k–$177k after Steam's cut $120k–$272k before Steam's cut
$9.99
491 reviews
Mixed
ActionIndie
DarkTimes: Wrath of the Raven
2024
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$382–$1k after Steam's cut $695–$2k before Steam's cut
$7.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
LinearTop-Down Shooter
Graveyard Gunslingers
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$13k–$34k after Steam's cut $23k–$52k before Steam's cut
$7.99
230 reviews
Mixed
ActionAction Roguelike

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