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How many copies did A Fistful of Gun sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 24k–39k
$66k–$177k after Steam's cut $120k–$272k before Steam's cut
from 491 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid A Fistful of Gun and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including A Fistful of Gun's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 326k–439k
best case 10.0M (Cuphead)
Games like A Fistful of Gun

A typical game among these

≈ 326k–439k copies

≈ $2.2M–$8.4M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Cuphead at ≈ 7.6M–12.4M copies, ≈ $41.9M–$112.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 15k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (8 of 8) and Action Roguelike (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Platformer, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Cartoon + Great Soundtrack + Difficult; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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The Spell Brigade
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1.5x vs typical
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Action RoguelikeOnline Co-Op
Returnal™
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ActionBullet Hell
Outland
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≈ 221k–360k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Free
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PlatformerAction
Cuphead
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.6M–12.4M
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$41.9M–$112.7M after Steam's cut $76.2M–$173.4M before Steam's cut
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Overwhelmingly Positive
DifficultCartoon
Relic Hunters Zero: Remix
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Looter ShooterTwin Stick Shooter
Full Metal Furies
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Est. copies
≈ 89k–144k
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ActionCo-op
Evil West
2022
Est. copies
≈ 339k–551k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.5M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.3M before Steam's cut
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WesternBeat 'em up

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.