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How many copies did Rabbit and Steel sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 289k–469k
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$4.9M before Steam's cut
from 12k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rabbit and Steel and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rabbit and Steel's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 983k–4.2M
best case 11.5M (Risk of Rain 2)
Games like Rabbit and Steel

A typical game among these

≈ 983k–4.2M copies

≈ $7.5M–$19.7M after Steam's cut

from ~48k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Risk of Rain 2 at ≈ 8.8M–14.2M copies, ≈ $60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 26k reviews in their first month; the range was 8k to 103k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Rogue-like (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Third-Person Shooter + Action Roguelike, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Realm of the Mad God Exalt
2012
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
48k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsMMORPG
Crab Champions
2023
Est. copies
≈ 774k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
31k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessAction Roguelike
Enter the Gungeon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
90k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAction Roguelike
Hero Siege
2014
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.8M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.4M before Steam's cut
$7.99
48k reviews
Mixed
Action RPGPixel Graphics
Risk of Rain 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8.8M–14.2M
7.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut $109.5M–$249.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
353k reviews
Very Positive
Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
Children of Morta
2019
Est. copies
≈ 674k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before Steam's cut
$21.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerRogue-like
Brotato
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$10.9M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.8M before Steam's cut
$4.99
119k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-likeSingleplayer
Roboquest
2023
Est. copies
≈ 608k–989k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.2M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSAction Roguelike

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