How much revenue did Garden Story make?

$237k–$636k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Garden Story sell?

Q: How many copies did Garden Story sell?

43k to 70k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 43k–70k; $237k–$636k after Steam's cut $430k–$978k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Garden Story and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Garden Story's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–5.9M

best case 39.5M (Black Myth: Wukong)

Games like Garden Story

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–5.9M copies

≈ $24.2M–$115.0M after Steam's cut

from ~62k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Black Myth: Wukong at ≈ 30.1M–48.9M copies, ≈ $496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 33k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 836k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action RPG (6 of 8) and Fantasy (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Mythology + Action RPG, priced around $60.
When they shipped: 5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
LIZARDS MUST DIE 2023	Est. copies ≈ 656k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $719k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut	$3.99	26k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HistoricalSouls-like
Black Myth: Wukong 2024	Est. copies ≈ 30.1M–48.9M 20x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue $496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut $902.2M–$2052.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	1.2M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MythologyAction RPG
AI LIMIT 2025	Est. copies ≈ 921k–1.5M SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $8.9M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.6M before Steam's cut	$34.99	37k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeFemale Protagonist
Dragon's Dogma 2 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.7M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $32.1M–$86.3M after Steam's cut $58.3M–$132.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	118k reviews Mixed	Open WorldRPG
Hogwarts Legacy 2023	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M 6.1x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut $278.6M–$633.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	375k reviews Very Positive	MagicOpen World
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion Remastered 2025	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.0M–$64.5M after Steam's cut $43.6M–$99.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	70k reviews Mostly Positive	RPGOpen World
God of War Ragnarök 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $20.7M–$55.6M after Steam's cut $37.6M–$85.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	51k reviews Very Positive	ActionAdventure
FINAL FANTASY VII REMAKE INTERGRADE 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $14.5M–$39.1M after Steam's cut $26.4M–$60.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	53k reviews Very Positive	RPGAction RPG