How much revenue did Catch a Duck make?

$3k–$9k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Catch a Duck sell?

Q: How many copies did Catch a Duck sell?

2k to 4k copies, based on its 85 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–4k; $3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut; from 85 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Catch a Duck and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Catch a Duck's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 261–912

best case 73k (Phantom Abyss)

Games like Catch a Duck

A typical game among these

≈ 261–912 copies

≈ $282–$1k after Steam's cut

from ~10 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Phantom Abyss at ≈ 56k–90k copies, ≈ $305k–$821k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 4 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 2k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Exploration (8 of 8) and Rogue-lite (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + 3D Platformer, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Action + 3D Platformer + Action-Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Meowhiss the snake 2024	Est. copies ≈ 149–242 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $123–$330 after Steam's cut $223–$507 before Steam's cut	$2.99	6 reviews 6 user reviews	StrategyScore Attack
Treasure Hunter: History of Monastery Gold 2023	Est. copies ≈ 670–1k 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $920–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$4.99	27 reviews Positive	SimulationAdventure
Bike Arena 2022	Est. copies ≈ 248–403 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $136–$365 after Steam's cut $247–$561 before Steam's cut	$1.99	10 reviews Mixed	AdventureCasual
Neko Journey 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k 6.0x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut	$4.99	60 reviews Mixed	AnimePlatformer
Phantom Abyss 2024	Est. copies ≈ 56k–90k 224x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $305k–$821k after Steam's cut $555k–$1.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Very Positive	ActionAdventure
Circuit Runner 2025	Est. copies ≈ 124–202 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $204–$551 after Steam's cut $371–$847 before Steam's cut	$5.99	5 reviews 5 user reviews	Action RoguelikeExploration
Plop Saga 2022	Est. copies ≈ 248–403 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $204–$548 after Steam's cut $371–$843 before Steam's cut	$2.99	10 reviews Positive	Side ScrollerPrecision Platformer
A Night Before the Deadline 2021	Est. copies ≈ 719–1k 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	29 reviews Mostly Positive	ExplorationRunner