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How big is A Night Before the Deadline?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 719–1k
from 29 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid A Night Before the Deadline and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including A Night Before the Deadline's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 261–1k
best case 73k (Phantom Abyss)
Games like A Night Before the Deadline

A typical game among these

≈ 261–1k copies

≈ $313–$3k after Steam's cut

from ~10 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Phantom Abyss at ≈ 56k–90k copies, ≈ $305k–$821k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 2k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (8 of 8) and Rogue-lite (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + 3D Platformer, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Action + 3D Platformer + Action-Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2019 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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224x vs typical
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StrategyScore Attack

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