How much revenue did Flux Caves make?

$3k–$7k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Flux Caves sell?

Q: How many copies did Flux Caves sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 70 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–3k; $3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut; from 70 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Flux Caves and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Flux Caves's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 24k–54k

best case 55k (Hexologic)

Games like Flux Caves

A typical game among these

≈ 24k–54k copies

≈ $70k–$191k after Steam's cut

from ~845 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Hexologic at ≈ 42k–67k copies, ≈ $57k–$153k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 40 reviews in their first month; the range was 30 to 176.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Sokoban (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Logic + Puzzle, priced around $5.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
THE IMPOSSIBLE 2020	Est. copies ≈ 15k–24k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $20k–$54k after Steam's cut $36k–$83k before Steam's cut	$4.99	588 reviews Very Positive	Puzzle Horror
Mess Adventures 2020	Est. copies ≈ 13k–21k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $10k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$43k before Steam's cut	$2.99	513 reviews Very Positive	AdventureFunny
Toodee and Topdee 2021	Est. copies ≈ 22k–35k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $119k–$320k after Steam's cut $216k–$492k before Steam's cut	$19.99	873 reviews Very Positive	ControllerPuzzle
King Rabbit - Puzzle 2019	Est. copies ≈ 10k–16k too small to compare SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	332 reviews Very Positive	Precision PlatformerSokoban
About Love, Hate and the other ones 2014	Est. copies ≈ 47k–77k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $104k–$280k after Steam's cut $189k–$430k before Steam's cut	$7.99	845 reviews Very Positive	SokobanCasual
Death Squared 2017	Est. copies ≈ 25k–40k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $103k–$276k after Steam's cut $187k–$425k before Steam's cut	$14.99	724 reviews Very Positive	PuzzleLocal Co-Op
Hexologic 2018	Est. copies ≈ 42k–67k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $57k–$153k after Steam's cut $104k–$236k before Steam's cut	$4.99	1k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	LogicPuzzle
Akin 2016	Est. copies ≈ 41k–67k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $56k–$152k after Steam's cut $103k–$233k before Steam's cut	$4.99	988 reviews Mostly Positive	CasualIndie