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How many copies did Toodee and Topdee sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 22k–35k
$119k–$320k after Steam's cut $216k–$492k before Steam's cut
from 873 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Toodee and Topdee and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Toodee and Topdee's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 551k–2.3M
best case 2.9M (Ultimate Chicken Horse)
Games like Toodee and Topdee

A typical game among these

≈ 551k–2.3M copies

≈ $2.3M–$9.5M after Steam's cut

from ~23k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Puzzle (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Ultimate Chicken Horse at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $9.2M–$24.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 399 to 15k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (4 of 8) and City Builder (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Party + Platformer, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2021
Est. copies
≈ 537k–872k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$884k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
$5.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExperimentalBuilding
Ultimate Chicken Horse
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.8M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
54k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerParty
Dorfromantik
2022
Est. copies
≈ 735k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut
$13.99
30k reviews
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PuzzleRelaxing
Biped
2020
Est. copies
≈ 287k–466k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Character CustomizationEmotional
TUNIC
2022
Est. copies
≈ 464k–753k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationPuzzle
Carto
2020
Est. copies
≈ 233k–379k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IndieCute
Super Hexagon
2012
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut
$2.99
25k reviews
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DifficultGreat Soundtrack
Brothers - A Tale of Two Sons
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.6M–$44.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAtmospheric

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