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How many copies did Rogue Glitch Ultra sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 40k–64k
$130k–$350k after Steam's cut $237k–$539k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rogue Glitch Ultra and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rogue Glitch Ultra's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 510k–2.0M
best case 7.3M (Dead Cells)
Games like Rogue Glitch Ultra

A typical game among these

≈ 510k–2.0M copies

≈ $1.5M–$10.8M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Dead Cells at ≈ 5.6M–9.1M copies, ≈ $38.4M–$103.2M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Rogue-like (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Metroidvania, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Spelunky
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.7M after Steam's cut $7.9M–$18.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
Dead Cells
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$38.4M–$103.2M after Steam's cut $69.8M–$158.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
184k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureAction Roguelike
Dungreed
2018
Est. copies
≈ 292k–474k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$802k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikePixel Graphics
Anomaly Agent
2024
Est. copies
≈ 249k–404k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$820k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$11.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Action Roguelike2D Platformer
Rogue Legacy
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
RoguevaniaPlatformer
Skul: The Hero Slayer
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction
Downwell
2015
Est. copies
≈ 421k–685k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$346k–$931k after Steam's cut $630k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$2.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Precision PlatformerAction Roguelike
Risk of Rain (2013)
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.2M–$13.9M after Steam's cut $9.4M–$21.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like

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