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How big is Hello Neighbor Pre-Alpha?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 75k–121k
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hello Neighbor Pre-Alpha and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hello Neighbor Pre-Alpha's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 191k–332k
best case 1.5M (Hello Neighbor)
Games like Hello Neighbor Pre-Alpha

A typical game among these

≈ 191k–332k copies

≈ $2.2M–$4.0M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hello Neighbor at ≈ 1.1M–1.9M copies, ≈ $9.4M–$25.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share First-Person (7 of 8) and Horror (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Sandbox, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hello Neighbor
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.9M
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$9.4M–$25.4M after Steam's cut $17.2M–$39.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorSandbox
DESOLATE
2019
Est. copies
≈ 232k–377k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$957k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
8k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalOpen World
Sir, You Are Being Hunted
2014
Est. copies
≈ 219k–355k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
Hello Neighbor 2
2022
Est. copies
≈ 148k–241k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePuzzle
Hello Neighbor Alpha 1
2019
Est. copies
≈ 126k–205k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Very Positive
CartoonyHorror
Amnesia: The Bunker
2023
Est. copies
≈ 314k–511k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Hello Neighbor Alpha 4
2019
Est. copies
≈ 177k–288k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayAdventure
Hello Neighbor Alpha 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 137k–222k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Very Positive

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