How many copies did Hello Neighbor Alpha 4 sell?

177k to 288k copies, based on its 6k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Hello Neighbor Alpha 4 make?

Hello Neighbor Alpha 4 is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Hello Neighbor Alpha 4?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 177k–288k; from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hello Neighbor Alpha 4 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hello Neighbor Alpha 4's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 151k–2.2M

best case 5.3M (Little Nightmares)

Games like Hello Neighbor Alpha 4

A typical game among these

≈ 151k–2.2M copies

≈ $1.5M–$22.4M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Little Nightmares at ≈ 4.0M–6.5M copies, ≈ $22.1M–$59.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 233 to 8k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Horror (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror + Puzzle-Platformer, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Little Nightmares II 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M 5.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.0M–$32.3M after Steam's cut $21.8M–$49.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	59k reviews Very Positive	HorrorAdventure
SchoolBoy Runaway 2024	Est. copies ≈ 97k–158k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $53k–$143k after Steam's cut $97k–$220k before Steam's cut	$1.99	4k reviews Very Positive	PuzzleAdventure
DARQ: Complete Edition 2019	Est. copies ≈ 121k–196k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $664k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	4k reviews Very Positive	HorrorDark
MADiSON 2022	Est. copies ≈ 86k–140k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $832k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut	$34.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Horror Psychological Horror
Amnesia: The Dark Descent 2010	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.7M 3.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.4M–$33.4M after Steam's cut $22.6M–$51.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	36k reviews Very Positive	HorrorGore
Little Nightmares 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.5M 12x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $22.1M–$59.3M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	117k reviews Very Positive	HorrorAtmospheric
Lucius 2012	Est. copies ≈ 691k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.7M–$12.8M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.6M before Steam's cut	$24.99	11k reviews Very Positive	HorrorAdventure
Amnesia: Rebirth 2020	Est. copies ≈ 232k–377k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	9k reviews Mostly Positive	Action-AdventureFirst-Person