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How many copies did Lucius sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 565k–918k
$3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.1M before the cut
from 11k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Lucius out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lucius's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 839k–1.1M
best case 2.3M (NBA 2K20)
The Villain Protagonist genre

All 8 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 839k–1.1M copies
≈ $7.0M–$9.6M after Steam's cut
from ~25k reviews
Best case
≈ 1.7M–2.8M copies
NBA 2K20
A breakout hit, far above a typical game.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Villain Protagonist (4 of 8) and Gore (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Basketball + Sports, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Basketball + Sports; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2022, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

NBA 2K20
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
60k reviews
Mixed
BasketballSports
Dungeons 3
2017
Est. copies
≈ 643k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.3M–$14.2M after Steam's cut $9.6M–$21.9M before the cut
$29.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyVillain Protagonist
Hatred
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.2M before the cut
$5.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
GoreViolent
Untitled Goose Game
2020
Est. copies
≈ 651k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.6M–$9.6M after Steam's cut $6.5M–$14.8M before the cut
$19.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FunnyVillain Protagonist
Maneater
2021
Est. copies
≈ 638k–1.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.0M–$18.9M after Steam's cut $12.8M–$29.0M before the cut
$39.99
26k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldDark Humor
CARRION
2020
Est. copies
≈ 898k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.4M before the cut
$19.99
34k reviews
Very Positive
Villain ProtagonistPixel Graphics
Police Simulator: Patrol Officers
2022
Est. copies
≈ 536k–872k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.4M–$11.9M after Steam's cut $8.0M–$18.3M before the cut
$29.99
22k reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationCrime
Skul: The Hero Slayer
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.4M before the cut
$19.99
57k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction

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