How much revenue did Waltz of the Wizard make?

$153k–$412k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Waltz of the Wizard sell?

Q: How many copies did Waltz of the Wizard sell?

28k to 45k copies, based on its 967 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 28k–45k; $153k–$412k after Steam's cut $278k–$633k before Steam's cut; from 967 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Waltz of the Wizard and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Waltz of the Wizard's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 931–40k

best case 2.0M (Blade and Sorcery)

Games like Waltz of the Wizard

A typical game among these

≈ 931–40k copies

≈ $9k–$839k after Steam's cut

from ~151 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Blade and Sorcery at ≈ 1.5M–2.5M copies, ≈ $12.7M–$34.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 76 reviews in their first month; the range was 9 to 49k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share VR (8 of 8) and Simulation (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with VR + Swordplay, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
SACRALITH : The Archer`s Tale 2018	Est. copies ≈ 8k–13k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $44k–$119k after Steam's cut $81k–$183k before Steam's cut	$19.99	265 reviews Very Positive	VRAction
Beast Pets 2019	Est. copies ≈ 605–983 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut	$9.99	21 reviews Positive	CasualSimulation
SYNTHSPACE 2021	Est. copies ≈ 918–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $8k–$20k after Steam's cut $14k–$31k before Steam's cut	$29.99	37 reviews Positive	Early AccessSimulation
Blade and Sorcery 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M 412x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.7M–$34.2M after Steam's cut $23.1M–$52.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	62k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	VRSwordplay
Legendary Tales 2024	Est. copies ≈ 75k–122k 20x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $825k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut	$39.99	3k reviews Mostly Positive	VROnline Co-Op
Colibri XR Immersive Art Gallery 2021	Est. copies ≈ 471–766 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $128–$345 after Steam's cut $233–$531 before Steam's cut	$0.99	19 reviews Positive	SimulationVR
Hellsweeper VR 2023	Est. copies ≈ 15k–25k 4.1x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $85k–$227k after Steam's cut $154k–$350k before Steam's cut	$19.99	620 reviews Very Positive	Hack and SlashAction Roguelike
Jamie's Toy Box 2023	Est. copies ≈ 744–1k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	30 reviews Mostly Positive	VRAtmospheric