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How many copies did ROBOTICS;NOTES ELITE sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 18k–29k
$172k–$463k after Steam's cut $313k–$713k before Steam's cut
from 722 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ROBOTICS;NOTES ELITE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ROBOTICS;NOTES ELITE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 621k–1.3M
best case 2.1M (VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action)
Games like ROBOTICS;NOTES ELITE

A typical game among these

≈ 621k–1.3M copies

≈ $3.2M–$13.3M after Steam's cut

from ~22k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action at ≈ 1.6M–2.6M copies, ≈ $6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 15k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (7 of 8) and Visual Novel (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Cyberpunk + Visual Novel, priced around $15.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CyberpunkVisual Novel
Senren*Banka
2020
Est. copies
≈ 923k–1.5M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$23.9M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.7M before Steam's cut
$34.99
37k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
STEINS;GATE
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$9.3M–$25.1M after Steam's cut $16.9M–$38.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
The Red Strings Club
2018
Est. copies
≈ 435k–708k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
CyberpunkPixel Graphics
NEKOPARA Vol. 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 535k–870k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeSexual Content
Tales from the Borderlands
2021
Est. copies
≈ 486k–790k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
ComedyAdventure
ATRI -My Dear Moments-
2020
Est. copies
≈ 584k–949k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut
$20.99
24k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime
OPUS: Echo of Starsong - Full Bloom Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 235k–382k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelEmotional

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