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How many copies did Heroes of Shaola sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 461–749
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
from 16 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Heroes of Shaola and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Heroes of Shaola's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11.5M–30.8M
best case 39.5M (Black Myth: Wukong)
Games like Heroes of Shaola

A typical game among these

≈ 11.5M–30.8M copies

≈ $193.2M–$715.1M after Steam's cut

from ~377k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Black Myth: Wukong at ≈ 30.1M–48.9M copies, ≈ $496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 219k reviews in their first month; the range was 36k to 836k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fantasy (6 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mythology + Action RPG, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Black Myth: Wukong
2024
Est. copies
≈ 30.1M–48.9M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut $902.2M–$2052.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
1.2M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MythologyAction RPG
God of War
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4.6M–7.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$63.1M–$169.6M after Steam's cut $114.7M–$260.9M before Steam's cut
$49.99
185k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionSingleplayer
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered
2015
Est. copies
≈ 43.8M–71.2M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$602.5M–$1620.0M after Steam's cut $1095.5M–$2492.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
898k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
Hogwarts Legacy
2023
Est. copies
≈ 9.3M–15.1M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut $278.6M–$633.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
375k reviews
Very Positive
MagicOpen World
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim
2011
Est. copies
≈ 20.1M–32.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$110.4M–$296.9M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
318k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
206k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tactical RPGRPG
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$173.2M–$465.8M after Steam's cut $315.0M–$716.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
379k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
Baldur's Gate 3
2023
Est. copies
≈ 21.3M–34.6M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$351.5M–$945.2M after Steam's cut $639.2M–$1454.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
859k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGCharacter Customization

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