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How many copies did 魔法使いハナビィ Hanaby the Witch sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$5k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
from 49 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 魔法使いハナビィ Hanaby the Witch and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 魔法使いハナビィ Hanaby the Witch's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 114k–434k
best case 1.5M (SANABI)
Games like 魔法使いハナビィ Hanaby the Witch

A typical game among these

≈ 114k–434k copies

≈ $774k–$4.6M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: SANABI at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $4.6M–$12.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Platformer (5 of 8) and Metroidvania (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Cyberpunk, priced around $15.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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MetroidvaniaFemale Protagonist
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MetroidvaniaExploration
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Est. copies
≈ 540k–878k
2.5x vs typical
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CombatFantasy
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2022
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≈ 87k–142k
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Puzzle-PlatformerMetroidvania
I wanna be the Creator
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≈ 87k–141k
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ActionLevel Editor
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≈ 249k–404k
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Action Roguelike2D Platformer
SANABI
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
5.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.4M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
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Overwhelmingly Positive
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Momodora: Moonlit Farewell
2024
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≈ 82k–133k
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Est. revenue
$382k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $695k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$16.99
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Very Positive
MetroidvaniaAnime

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