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How big is CosmicBreak Universal?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 36k–58k
from 1k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid CosmicBreak Universal and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including CosmicBreak Universal's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 610–483k
best case 8.0M (ULTRAKILL)
Games like CosmicBreak Universal

A typical game among these

≈ 610–483k copies

≈ $81k–$8.3M after Steam's cut

from ~432 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Character Action Game (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: ULTRAKILL at ≈ 6.1M–9.9M copies, ≈ $50.2M–$134.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 394 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 18k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Character Action Game (4 of 8) and Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Boomer Shooter + Fast-Paced, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2020 to 2026, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ULTRAKILL
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.1M–9.9M
568x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$50.2M–$134.8M after Steam's cut $91.2M–$207.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
245k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Boomer ShooterFast-Paced
Space Runner - Anime
2021
Est. copies
≈ 372–605
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$101–$272 after Steam's cut $184–$419 before Steam's cut
$0.99
15 reviews
Mixed
ActionAdventure
Cyberpunk SFX
2026
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$16k–$44k after Steam's cut $30k–$68k before Steam's cut
$9.99
242 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessAdventure
Borderlands Game of the Year Enhanced
2023
Est. copies
≈ 693k–1.1M
65x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.7M–$15.4M after Steam's cut $10.4M–$23.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
引力魔方(Gravity rubik's cube)
2021
Est. copies
≈ 496–806
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
20 reviews
Positive
Mechone
2022
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5 reviews
5 user reviews
3DSingleplayer
VLADiK BRUTAL
2024
Est. copies
≈ 260k–422k
24x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$857k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$11.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
FPSShooter
Valkyrie of Phantasm
2024
Est. copies
≈ 15k–25k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$127k–$341k after Steam's cut $231k–$525k before Steam's cut
$29.99
621 reviews
Very Positive
Faith3D Fighter

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