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How many copies did Valkyrie of Phantasm sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 15k–25k
$127k–$341k after Steam's cut $231k–$525k before Steam's cut
from 621 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Valkyrie of Phantasm and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Valkyrie of Phantasm's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7k–33k
best case 252k (Mitsurugi Kamui Hikae)
Games like Valkyrie of Phantasm

A typical game among these

≈ 7k–33k copies

≈ $20k–$85k after Steam's cut

from ~250 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Mitsurugi Kamui Hikae at ≈ 192k–312k copies, ≈ $528k–$1.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 92 reviews in their first month; the range was 11 to 766.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Fighter (5 of 8) and Character Action Game (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Female Protagonist + Hack and Slash, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Mitsurugi Kamui Hikae
2014
Est. copies
≈ 192k–312k
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$528k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $960k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Female ProtagonistHack and Slash
Dragon Simulator Multiplayer
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$919–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$0.99
111 reviews
Mostly Positive
DragonsAction-Adventure
Cyberpunk SFX
2026
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$16k–$44k after Steam's cut $30k–$68k before Steam's cut
$9.99
242 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessAdventure
Skeletal Avenger
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$30k–$80k after Steam's cut $54k–$123k before Steam's cut
$16.99
256 reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationAction Roguelike
CosmicBreak Universal
2021
Est. copies
≈ 36k–58k
5.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayAction
TOUHOU SKY ARENA MATSURI CLIMAX
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$33k–$89k after Steam's cut $60k–$138k before Steam's cut
$19.99
244 reviews
Very Positive
ActionFantasy
Magical Battle Festa
2014
Est. copies
≈ 22k–35k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$59k–$159k after Steam's cut $107k–$244k before Steam's cut
$9.99
384 reviews
Mixed
Hack and Slash3D Fighter
Gado Fight
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut
$6.99
103 reviews
Mixed
ActionIndie

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