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How many copies did Тёмное отражение (Dark Reflection) sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
from 65 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Тёмное отражение (Dark Reflection) and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Тёмное отражение (Dark Reflection)'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.0M–5.6M
best case 12.1M (DOOM)
Games like Тёмное отражение (Dark Reflection)

A typical game among these

≈ 4.0M–5.6M copies

≈ $72.3M–$85.7M after Steam's cut

from ~141k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Gore (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: DOOM at ≈ 9.2M–15.0M copies, ≈ $50.7M–$136.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 45k reviews in their first month; the range was 24k to 114k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Gore (4 of 8) and Open World (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Gore, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Blade and Sorcery
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.7M–$34.2M after Steam's cut $23.1M–$52.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
62k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRSwordplay
Resident Evil Village
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
155k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Borderlands 3
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$89.5M–$240.7M after Steam's cut $162.8M–$370.4M before Steam's cut
$79.99
164k reviews
Very Positive
RPGLooter Shooter
DOOM
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$50.7M–$136.4M after Steam's cut $92.3M–$209.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
222k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSGore
Devil May Cry 5
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4.9M–8.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$40.6M–$109.2M after Steam's cut $73.9M–$168.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
171k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionHack and Slash
Friday the 13th: The Game
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
77k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
Conan Exiles Enhanced
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$39.3M–$105.8M after Steam's cut $71.5M–$162.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
118k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World
SCUM
2025
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$39.0M–$104.9M after Steam's cut $70.9M–$161.4M before Steam's cut
$44.99
127k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.