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How many copies did Countryballs: Modern Ballfare sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–11k
$9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$39k before Steam's cut
from 277 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Countryballs: Modern Ballfare and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Countryballs: Modern Ballfare's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 789k–1.3M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Countryballs: Modern Ballfare

A typical game among these

≈ 789k–1.3M copies

≈ $4.5M–$9.5M after Steam's cut

from ~30k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Shooter (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 496 to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shooter (4 of 8) and Third-Person Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter. The breakout hits carry FPS + PvP + Survival; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
94x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Imperator: Rome
2019
Est. copies
≈ 773k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.5M–$22.8M after Steam's cut $15.5M–$35.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
27k reviews
Mixed
StrategyGrand Strategy
Realm Royale Reforged
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
56k reviews
Mostly Positive
Battle RoyaleFree to Play
Crab Champions
2023
Est. copies
≈ 774k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
31k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessAction Roguelike
Sunset Overdrive
2018
Est. copies
≈ 441k–717k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Mass Effect™: Andromeda Deluxe Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 468k–760k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.4M–$21.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
19k reviews
Mostly Positive
Character CustomizationSci-fi
CRSED: Cuisine Royale
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
39k reviews
Mostly Positive
Battle RoyaleFree to Play
Holdfast: Nations At War
2020
Est. copies
≈ 734k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.0M–$10.8M after Steam's cut $7.3M–$16.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterFPS

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.