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How big is Blooming Nightshade?

Estimated owners
≈ 7k–11k
from 233 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Blooming Nightshade out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Blooming Nightshade's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 25.2M–43.5M
best case 93.3M (Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege)
The Open World genre

All 8 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 25.2M–43.5M copies
≈ $161.5M–$306.3M after Steam's cut
from ~571k reviews
Best case
≈ 71.1M–115.5M copies
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (3 of 8) and Exploration (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Tactical.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2018, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

DARK SOULS™ III
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17.5M–28.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$288.9M–$776.8M after Steam's cut $525.3M–$1195.1M before the cut
$59.99
438k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
2015
Est. copies
≈ 71.1M–115.5M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.5M reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP
Stardew Valley
2016
Est. copies
≈ 41.0M–66.6M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$169.0M–$454.3M after Steam's cut $307.2M–$698.9M before the cut
$14.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Farming SimPixel Graphics
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.6M–33.5M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$113.4M–$304.8M after Steam's cut $206.1M–$468.9M before the cut
$19.99
678k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 14.8M–24.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$163.2M–$438.9M after Steam's cut $296.8M–$675.2M before the cut
$39.99
371k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.5M–49.6M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$41.9M–$112.5M after Steam's cut $76.1M–$173.1M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Fallout 4
2015
Est. copies
≈ 19.8M–32.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$108.8M–$292.6M after Steam's cut $197.9M–$450.2M before the cut
$19.99
427k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 24.1M–39.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$66.3M–$178.1M after Steam's cut $120.5M–$274.1M before the cut
$9.99
464k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.