How much revenue did Utawarerumono: Mask of Truth make?

$414k–$1.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Utawarerumono: Mask of Truth sell?

Q: How many copies did Utawarerumono: Mask of Truth sell?

38k to 61k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 38k–61k; $414k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $752k–$1.7M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Utawarerumono: Mask of Truth and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Utawarerumono: Mask of Truth's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9.6M–17.5M

best case 28.0M (Baldur's Gate 3)

Games like Utawarerumono: Mask of Truth

A typical game among these

≈ 9.6M–17.5M copies

≈ $142.2M–$218.8M after Steam's cut

from ~271k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Open World (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Baldur's Gate 3 at ≈ 21.3M–34.6M copies, ≈ $351.5M–$945.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 234k reviews in their first month; the range was 57k to 327k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (4 of 8) and Character Customization (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Character Customization + Choices Matter, priced around $60.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
SCP: Secret Laboratory 2017	Est. copies ≈ 8.1M–13.1M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	235k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayMultiplayer
Mount & Blade: Warband 2010	Est. copies ≈ 10.9M–17.7M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $59.8M–$160.9M after Steam's cut $108.8M–$247.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	172k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MedievalRPG
7 Days to Die 2024	Est. copies ≈ 9.9M–16.2M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	401k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.1M–11.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	206k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tactical RPGRPG
Baldur's Gate 3 2023	Est. copies ≈ 21.3M–34.6M 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $351.5M–$945.2M after Steam's cut $639.2M–$1454.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	859k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGCharacter Customization
Squad 2020	Est. copies ≈ 6.0M–9.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $66.5M–$178.7M after Steam's cut $120.8M–$274.9M before Steam's cut	$39.99	244k reviews Very Positive	MilitaryRealistic
Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord 2022	Est. copies ≈ 7.4M–12.0M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $101.7M–$273.3M after Steam's cut $184.8M–$420.5M before Steam's cut	$49.99	298k reviews Very Positive	MedievalStrategy