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How many copies did Second Sight sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 8k–13k
$22k–$60k after Steam's cut $41k–$92k before Steam's cut
from 327 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Second Sight and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Second Sight's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–5.7M
best case 22.4M (Tomb Raider Game of the Year)
Games like Second Sight

A typical game among these

≈ 1.6M–5.7M copies

≈ $25.3M–$47.2M after Steam's cut

from ~54k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Tomb Raider Game of the Year at ≈ 17.1M–27.8M copies, ≈ $94.0M–$252.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Third Person (7 of 8) and Story Rich (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Female Protagonist + Third Person, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

METAL GEAR SOLID V: THE PHANTOM PAIN
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.1M–$78.2M after Steam's cut $52.9M–$120.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
108k reviews
Very Positive
StealthOpen World
UNCHARTED™: Legacy of Thieves Collection
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$15.0M–$40.4M after Steam's cut $27.3M–$62.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction-Adventure
HITMAN™
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37k reviews
Very Positive
StealthAction
Hitman: Absolution™
2012
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.2M–$59.6M after Steam's cut $40.3M–$91.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
64k reviews
Very Positive
StealthAction
Mafia III: Definitive Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.2M–$35.5M after Steam's cut $24.0M–$54.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
64k reviews
Mixed
CrimeOpen World
Tomb Raider Game of the Year
2013
Est. copies
≈ 17.1M–27.8M
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$94.0M–$252.8M after Steam's cut $171.0M–$388.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
271k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureAction
The Evil Within 2
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.7M–$31.6M after Steam's cut $21.4M–$48.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
Quantum Break
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.2M–$38.3M after Steam's cut $25.9M–$58.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
ActionStory Rich

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