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How big is Drone Wars?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 3k–5k
from 117 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Drone Wars and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Drone Wars's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 571k–1.2M
best case 2.2M (ACE COMBAT™ 7: SKIES UNKNOWN)
Games like Drone Wars

A typical game among these

≈ 571k–1.2M copies

≈ $7.0M–$14.2M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: ACE COMBAT™ 7: SKIES UNKNOWN at ≈ 1.6M–2.7M copies, ≈ $27.1M–$72.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 12k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Space (5 of 8) and Flight (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Flight + Jet, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

EVERSPACE™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 395k–642k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$9.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Mostly Positive
SpaceAction Roguelike
ACE COMBAT™ 7: SKIES UNKNOWN
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.1M–$72.7M after Steam's cut $49.2M–$111.9M before Steam's cut
$59.99
57k reviews
Very Positive
FlightJet
STAR WARS™: Squadrons
2020
Est. copies
≈ 699k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
28k reviews
Mixed
FlightSpace
Galaxy on Fire 2™ Full HD
2012
Est. copies
≈ 143k–232k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$314k–$843k after Steam's cut $570k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$7.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
SpaceThird-Person Shooter
EVERSPACE™ 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 326k–529k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.5M–$12.0M after Steam's cut $8.1M–$18.5M before Steam's cut
$49.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterSpace
Project Wingman
2020
Est. copies
≈ 556k–904k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $6.9M–$15.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
FlightAction
Star Conflict
2013
Est. copies
≈ 963k–1.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15k reviews
Mostly Positive
Online Co-OpFree to Play
House of the Dying Sun
2016
Est. copies
≈ 85k–139k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$470k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $854k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
ActionSimulation

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