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How many copies did Morels: The Hunt sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 8k–14k
$46k–$123k after Steam's cut $83k–$189k before Steam's cut
from 289 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Morels: The Hunt and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Morels: The Hunt's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 114k–280k
best case 333k (Atelier Ryza: Ever Darkness & the Secret Hideout)
Games like Morels: The Hunt

A typical game among these

≈ 114k–280k copies

≈ $825k–$1.5M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Atelier Ryza: Ever Darkness & the Secret Hideout at ≈ 253k–412k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 730 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Crafting (5 of 8) and Collectathon (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with JRPG + Exploration.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Digseum
2024
Est. copies
≈ 202k–329k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$166k–$448k after Steam's cut $303k–$689k before Steam's cut
$2.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualClicker
Atelier Ryza: Ever Darkness & the Secret Hideout
2019
Est. copies
≈ 253k–412k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9k reviews
Very Positive
JRPGExploration
PickCrafter
2017
Est. copies
≈ 246k–400k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Very Positive
MiningIdler
Atelier Ryza 2: Lost Legends & the Secret Fairy
2021
Est. copies
≈ 94k–153k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationCollectathon
Atelier Ryza 3: Alchemist of the End & the Secret Key
2023
Est. copies
≈ 56k–92k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationJRPG
Littlewood
2020
Est. copies
≈ 169k–275k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$699k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsLife Sim
Squirrel with a Gun
2024
Est. copies
≈ 98k–160k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$541k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $983k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
ActionSimulation
Atelier Sophie 2: The Alchemist of the Mysterious Dream
2022
Est. copies
≈ 65k–105k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before Steam's cut
$59.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
RPGJRPG

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.