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How many copies did Mini Words - minimalist puzzle sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–9k
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
from 183 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mini Words - minimalist puzzle and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mini Words - minimalist puzzle's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4k–6k
best case 74k (MEMOLOGY: GOYDA)
Games like Mini Words - minimalist puzzle

A typical game among these

≈ 4k–6k copies

≈ $14k–$32k after Steam's cut

from ~120 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: MEMOLOGY: GOYDA at ≈ 56k–91k copies, ≈ $31k–$83k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 31 reviews in their first month; the range was 18 to 170.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (5 of 8) and Text-Based (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Memes + Parody , priced around $2. The breakout hits carry Memes + Parody + Cats; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

MEMOLOGY: GOYDA
2024
Est. copies
≈ 56k–91k
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$31k–$83k after Steam's cut $56k–$127k before Steam's cut
$1.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
MemesParody
Mini Words: Top Movies
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$1.99
80 reviews
Very Positive
Word GameText-Based
Trivia Vault: 1980's Trivia 2
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$19k–$52k after Steam's cut $35k–$80k before Steam's cut
$13.99
147 reviews
Mixed
CasualIndie
Trivia Vault: Food Trivia
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$61k before Steam's cut
$13.99
127 reviews
Mixed
CasualSimulation
Trivia Vault Football Trivia
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$14k–$38k after Steam's cut $26k–$58k before Steam's cut
$13.99
120 reviews
Mixed
CasualIndie
Trivia Vault: Health Trivia Deluxe
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$14k–$37k after Steam's cut $25k–$58k before Steam's cut
$13.99
119 reviews
Mixed
TriviaIndie
Prose & Codes
2022
Est. copies
≈ 8k–14k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$23k–$63k after Steam's cut $42k–$96k before Steam's cut
$9.99
342 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleWord Game
Mini Words: Top Games
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$1.99
83 reviews
Very Positive
Word GameTrivia

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