How many copies did Split or Steal sell?

30k to 48k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Split or Steal make?

Split or Steal is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Split or Steal?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 30k–48k; from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Split or Steal and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Split or Steal's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 12.2M–19.5M

best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)

Games like Split or Steal

A typical game among these

≈ 12.2M–19.5M copies

≈ $95.8M–$260.4M after Steam's cut

from ~306k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Sandbox (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Sandbox (4 of 8) and Physics (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Mature + Utilities + Software; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2019. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Human Fall Flat 2016	Est. copies ≈ 9.5M–15.4M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	227k reviews Very Positive	Co-opFunny
BeamNG.drive 2015	Est. copies ≈ 20.5M–33.4M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut $256.7M–$584.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	421k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationDriving
VRChat 2017	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	269k reviews Mostly Positive	VRFree to Play
People Playground 2019	Est. copies ≈ 9.2M–15.0M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	321k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxGore
Wallpaper Engine 2018	Est. copies ≈ 31.0M–50.3M 3.3x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut	$4.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MatureUtilities
Hearts of Iron IV 2016	Est. copies ≈ 15.1M–24.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $207.7M–$558.4M after Steam's cut $377.6M–$859.1M before Steam's cut	$49.99	363k reviews Very Positive	StrategyWorld War II
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 95.8M–155.7M 9.1x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.8M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
Cities: Skylines 2015	Est. copies ≈ 14.2M–23.1M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $117.2M–$315.2M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	291k reviews Very Positive	City Builder Simulation