How much revenue did Mecha Knights: Nightmare make?

$179k–$482k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Mecha Knights: Nightmare sell?

Q: How many copies did Mecha Knights: Nightmare sell?

41k to 66k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 41k–66k; $179k–$482k after Steam's cut $326k–$742k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mecha Knights: Nightmare and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mecha Knights: Nightmare's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 17k–35k

best case 2.8M (ARMORED CORE™ VI FIRES OF RUBICON™)

Games like Mecha Knights: Nightmare

A typical game among these

≈ 17k–35k copies

≈ $165k–$416k after Steam's cut

from ~747 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: ARMORED CORE™ VI FIRES OF RUBICON™ at ≈ 2.1M–3.5M copies, ≈ $35.2M–$94.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 479 reviews in their first month; the range was 15 to 46k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Mechs (8 of 8) and Robots (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Mechs + Character Customization, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Character Customization + Third Person + Fast-Paced; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
FRONT MISSION 2: Remake 2024	Est. copies ≈ 9k–15k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $88k–$235k after Steam's cut $159k–$362k before Steam's cut	$34.99	367 reviews Mixed	StrategyMechs
War Robots VR: The Skirmish 2017	Est. copies ≈ 27k–44k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	784 reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayAction
Battle Engine Aquila 2020	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$42k before Steam's cut	$9.99	148 reviews Very Positive	MechsWar
ARMORED CORE™ VI FIRES OF RUBICON™ 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2.1M–3.5M 115x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $35.2M–$94.8M after Steam's cut $64.1M–$145.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	86k reviews Very Positive	MechsCharacter Customization
Project MIKHAIL: A Muv-Luv War Story 2024	Est. copies ≈ 19k–30k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $102k–$274k after Steam's cut $185k–$421k before Steam's cut	$19.99	747 reviews Mixed	Spectacle fighterHack and Slash
Vox Machinae 2022	Est. copies ≈ 32k–53k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $267k–$717k after Steam's cut $485k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	1k reviews Very Positive	VRMechs
LEFT ALIVE™ 2019	Est. copies ≈ 27k–43k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $438k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $796k–$1.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	921 reviews Mostly Negative	ActionViolent
Mech Mechanic Simulator 2021	Est. copies ≈ 17k–28k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $96k–$258k after Steam's cut $174k–$396k before Steam's cut	$19.99	703 reviews Mixed	MechsCrafting