How many copies did Shiren the Wanderer: The Tower of Fortune and the Dice of Fate sell?

Q: How many copies did Shiren the Wanderer: The Tower of Fortune and the Dice of Fate sell?

24k to 38k copies, based on its 953 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Q: How much revenue did Shiren the Wanderer: The Tower of Fortune and the Dice of Fate make?

$130k–$349k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 24k–38k; $130k–$349k after Steam's cut $236k–$537k before Steam's cut; from 953 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Shiren the Wanderer: The Tower of Fortune and the Dice of Fate and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shiren the Wanderer: The Tower of Fortune and the Dice of Fate's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 58k–99k

best case 1.7M (Crypt of the NecroDancer)

Games like Shiren the Wanderer: The Tower of Fortune and the Dice of Fate

A typical game among these

≈ 58k–99k copies

≈ $299k–$569k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Crypt of the NecroDancer at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 828 reviews in their first month; the range was 314 to 2k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Rogue-like (7 of 8) and Dungeon Crawler (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Rhythm + Female Protagonist, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Rhythm + Great Soundtrack + Pixel Graphics; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Vivid Knight 2021	Est. copies ≈ 42k–69k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $175k–$469k after Steam's cut $317k–$722k before Steam's cut	$14.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-like Roguelike Deckbuilder
Crypt of the NecroDancer 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M 14x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	27k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RhythmFemale Protagonist
ENDLESS Dungeon™ - Definitive Edition 2023	Est. copies ≈ 95k–155k 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $393k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $715k–$1.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	4k reviews Mixed	ActionTower Defense
One Way Heroics 2014	Est. copies ≈ 233k–378k 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $223k–$601k after Steam's cut $406k–$924k before Steam's cut	$3.49	4k reviews Very Positive	Mystery DungeonSide Scroller
The Backrooms: Survival 2023	Est. copies ≈ 28k–45k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $77k–$206k after Steam's cut $140k–$318k before Steam's cut	$9.99	1k reviews Very Positive	HorrorMultiplayer
Shattered Pixel Dungeon 2022	Est. copies ≈ 55k–89k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $150k–$404k after Steam's cut $273k–$621k before Steam's cut	$9.99	2k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Traditional RoguelikeDungeon Crawler
Touhou Genso Wanderer -Reloaded- 2018	Est. copies ≈ 56k–91k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $539k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $980k–$2.2M before Steam's cut	$34.99	2k reviews Very Positive	RPGAdventure
Tangledeep 2018	Est. copies ≈ 45k–74k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $187k–$502k after Steam's cut $339k–$772k before Steam's cut	$14.99	1k reviews Very Positive	Traditional RoguelikeTurn-Based Tactics