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How many copies did Tangledeep sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 45k–74k
$187k–$502k after Steam's cut $339k–$772k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tangledeep and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tangledeep's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–13k
best case 17k (Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island)
Games like Tangledeep

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–13k copies

≈ $15k–$92k after Steam's cut

from ~163 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island at ≈ 13k–21k copies, ≈ $141k–$380k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 53 reviews in their first month; the range was 15 to 160.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Mystery Dungeon (5 of 8) and Rogue-like (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rogue-like + Mystery Dungeon, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$17k–$47k after Steam's cut $32k–$72k before Steam's cut
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Nova-111
2015
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SteamSpy 20k–50k
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Rogue Empire: Dungeon Crawler RPG
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Est. copies
≈ 11k–19k
2.4x vs typical
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$47k–$127k after Steam's cut $86k–$195k before Steam's cut
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Traditional RoguelikeRogue-like
Lazriel: The Demon's Fall
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Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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$9k–$24k after Steam's cut $17k–$38k before Steam's cut
$14.99
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Card BattlerTurn-Based Tactics
Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island
2024
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$141k–$380k after Steam's cut $257k–$584k before Steam's cut
$39.99
518 reviews
Very Positive
Dread Nautical
2020
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$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
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LovecraftianIndie
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SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
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Monster Girls and the Mysterious Adventure 2
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Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
2.1x vs typical
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Est. revenue
$59k–$159k after Steam's cut $108k–$245k before Steam's cut
$24.99
347 reviews
Very Positive
Mystery DungeonRPG

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