How many copies did Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island sell?

Q: How many copies did Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island sell?

13k to 21k copies, based on its 518 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Q: How much revenue did Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island make?

$141k–$380k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 13k–21k; $141k–$380k after Steam's cut $257k–$584k before Steam's cut; from 518 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 81k–289k

best case 1.7M (Crypt of the NecroDancer)

Games like Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island

A typical game among these

≈ 81k–289k copies

≈ $435k–$1.6M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Crypt of the NecroDancer at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 314 to 6k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Rogue-like (5 of 8) and Dungeon Crawler (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Rhythm + Female Protagonist, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Rhythm + Difficult + Great Soundtrack; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Crypt of the NecroDancer 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M 7.3x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	27k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RhythmFemale Protagonist
One Way Heroics 2014	Est. copies ≈ 233k–378k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $223k–$601k after Steam's cut $406k–$924k before Steam's cut	$3.49	4k reviews Very Positive	Mystery DungeonSide Scroller
Elin 2024	Est. copies ≈ 229k–372k 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	9k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessCharacter Customization
Touhou Genso Wanderer -Reloaded- 2018	Est. copies ≈ 56k–91k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $539k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $980k–$2.2M before Steam's cut	$34.99	2k reviews Very Positive	RPGAdventure
Boyfriend Dungeon 2021	Est. copies ≈ 67k–109k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $368k–$988k after Steam's cut $668k–$1.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Very Positive	ComedyStory Rich
Dwarven Realms 2024	Est. copies ≈ 91k–147k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $249k–$669k after Steam's cut $452k–$1.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Action RPGHack and Slash
Shattered Pixel Dungeon 2022	Est. copies ≈ 55k–89k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $150k–$404k after Steam's cut $273k–$621k before Steam's cut	$9.99	2k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Traditional RoguelikeDungeon Crawler
Backpack Hero 2023	Est. copies ≈ 212k–344k 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	9k reviews Very Positive	Replay ValueTurn-Based