How much revenue did Dread Nautical make?

$4k–$12k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Dread Nautical sell?

Q: How many copies did Dread Nautical sell?

794 to 1k copies, based on its 32 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 794–1k; $4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut; from 32 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dread Nautical and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dread Nautical's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 564k–2.3M

best case 8.9M (Darkest Dungeon®)

Games like Dread Nautical

A typical game among these

≈ 564k–2.3M copies

≈ $3.0M–$12.6M after Steam's cut

from ~21k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Horror (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Darkest Dungeon® at ≈ 6.8M–11.0M copies, ≈ $46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Horror (3 of 8) and Card Game (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Turn-Based Combat + Dark Fantasy, priced around $25.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Devil Daggers 2016	Est. copies ≈ 395k–643k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	10k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSDifficult
Darkwood 2017	Est. copies ≈ 861k–1.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	25k reviews Very Positive	Horror Survival Horror
Lobotomy Corporation \| Monster Management Simulation 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.0M–$32.2M after Steam's cut $21.8M–$49.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	57k reviews Very Positive	ManagementDifficult
Darkest Dungeon® 2016	Est. copies ≈ 6.8M–11.0M 7.8x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut $84.6M–$192.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	163k reviews Very Positive	Turn-Based CombatDark Fantasy
UNO 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.0M 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	54k reviews Mostly Positive	Card GameMultiplayer
Cultist Simulator 2018	Est. copies ≈ 433k–704k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	14k reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationChoices Matter
Magicraft 2024	Est. copies ≈ 419k–681k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$5.0M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.6M before Steam's cut	$15.99	17k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Garfield Kart 2015	Est. copies ≈ 691k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $948k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut	$4.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Cult ClassicCombat Racing