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How big is An Occurrence at Owl Creek Bridge?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 2k–3k
from 59 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid An Occurrence at Owl Creek Bridge and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including An Occurrence at Owl Creek Bridge's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 38k–196k
best case 268k (Zeno Clash)
Games like An Occurrence at Owl Creek Bridge

A typical game among these

≈ 38k–196k copies

≈ $71k–$472k after Steam's cut

from ~942 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Short (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Zeno Clash at ≈ 204k–332k copies, ≈ $562k–$1.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Short (4 of 8) and Surreal (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Surreal + Beat 'em up, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Journey Down: Chapter Two
2014
Est. copies
≈ 31k–51k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$129k–$348k after Steam's cut $235k–$535k before Steam's cut
$14.99
560 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AtmosphericNoir
Samorost 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 187k–303k
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$256k–$689k after Steam's cut $466k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Point & ClickCasual
Zeno Clash
2009
Est. copies
≈ 204k–332k
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$562k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
ActionSurreal
D'LIRIUM
2023
Est. copies
≈ 28k–45k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$38k–$103k after Steam's cut $70k–$159k before Steam's cut
$4.99
1k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Top-Down ShooterAction-Adventure
Pink Heaven
2015
Est. copies
≈ 37k–60k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
754 reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayIndie
Awareness Rooms
2016
Est. copies
≈ 24k–39k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$33k–$89k after Steam's cut $60k–$137k before Steam's cut
$4.99
579 reviews
Very Positive
IndieAdventure
Don't Kill the Cow
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
117 reviews
Very Positive
IndieShort
Temporality
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
145 reviews
Very Positive
Indie2D

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