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How many copies did The Journey Down: Chapter Two sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 31k–51k
$129k–$348k after Steam's cut $235k–$535k before Steam's cut
from 560 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Journey Down: Chapter Two and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Journey Down: Chapter Two's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.7M–3.3M
best case 5.0M (Disco Elysium - The Final Cut)
Games like The Journey Down: Chapter Two

A typical game among these

≈ 1.7M–3.3M copies

≈ $11.8M–$22.6M after Steam's cut

from ~38k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Disco Elysium - The Final Cut at ≈ 3.8M–6.2M copies, ≈ $41.7M–$112.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (7 of 8) and Detective (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + RPG + Choices Matter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Return of the Obra Dinn
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveMystery
Mafia: Definitive Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$30.4M–$81.7M after Steam's cut $55.2M–$125.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
111k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldCrime
Disco Elysium - The Final Cut
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.7M–$112.0M after Steam's cut $75.8M–$172.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
132k reviews
Very Positive
Max Payne 3
2012
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.4M–$60.2M after Steam's cut $40.7M–$92.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
64k reviews
Very Positive
ActionThird-Person Shooter
L.A. Noire
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.8M–$34.5M after Steam's cut $23.4M–$53.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveCrime
The Wolf Among Us
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.5M–$28.2M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
40k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureDetective
Mafia II: Definitive Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 967k–1.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$8.0M–$21.4M after Steam's cut $14.5M–$33.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
39k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionAdventure
Alice: Madness Returns
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.5M after Steam's cut $9.8M–$22.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorFemale Protagonist

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