How much revenue did VED make?

$11k–$29k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did VED sell?

Q: How many copies did VED sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 78 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–3k; $11k–$29k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before Steam's cut; from 78 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid VED and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including VED's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.4M–5.5M

best case 28.0M (Baldur's Gate 3)

Games like VED

A typical game among these

≈ 3.4M–5.5M copies

≈ $32.4M–$114.6M after Steam's cut

from ~105k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Baldur's Gate 3 at ≈ 21.3M–34.6M copies, ≈ $351.5M–$945.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 19k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 268k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 8) and Fantasy (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Survival + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M 6.5x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Baldur's Gate 3 2023	Est. copies ≈ 21.3M–34.6M 8.2x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $351.5M–$945.2M after Steam's cut $639.2M–$1454.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	859k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGCharacter Customization
Total War: WARHAMMER II 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.2M–6.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $68.9M–$185.3M after Steam's cut $125.3M–$285.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	121k reviews Very Positive	StrategyFantasy
Persona 4 Golden 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	88k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	JRPGGreat Soundtrack
Disco Elysium - The Final Cut 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $41.7M–$112.0M after Steam's cut $75.8M–$172.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	132k reviews Very Positive	RPGStory Rich
OMORI 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Story Rich
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.1M–11.5M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	206k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tactical RPGRPG
South Park™: The Stick of Truth™ 2014	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $34.0M–$91.4M after Steam's cut $61.8M–$140.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	74k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGComedy