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How many copies did Listeria Wars sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 818–1k
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
from 33 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Listeria Wars and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Listeria Wars's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 464–838
best case 62k (Grim Nights)
Games like Listeria Wars

A typical game among these

≈ 464–838 copies

≈ $741–$4k after Steam's cut

from ~20 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Grim Nights at ≈ 47k–77k copies, ≈ $39k–$104k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 32.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Tower Defense (6 of 8) and Side Scroller (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Base-Building, priced around $7. The breakout hits carry Base-Building + Survival + Colony Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Phoenix Hope
2021
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
8.4x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$14k–$37k after Steam's cut $25k–$57k before Steam's cut
$11.99
169 reviews
Mixed
SimulationStrategy
Pillar of gods
2025
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$300–$804 after Steam's cut $545–$1k before Steam's cut
$3.99
11 reviews
Positive
StrategyPixel Graphics
Emberwake
2024
Est. copies
≈ 744–1k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
$9.99
30 reviews
Mixed
2DPixel Graphics
Grim Nights
2018
Est. copies
≈ 47k–77k
78x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$39k–$104k after Steam's cut $71k–$160k before Steam's cut
$2.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTower Defense
Toy War - Cannon
2023
Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$37k–$99k after Steam's cut $67k–$152k before Steam's cut
$199.99
27 reviews
Mixed
Side ScrollerTactical RPG
Tortuga City
2025
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$707–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$7.99
13 reviews
Positive
IndieStrategy
Winning Tactics
2025
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$9.99
22 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualAdventure
Cossack and Magic
2021
Est. copies
≈ 446–725
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$122–$326 after Steam's cut $221–$502 before Steam's cut
$0.99
18 reviews
Positive
Side ScrollerSpectacle fighter

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.