How much revenue did Phoenix Hope make?

$14k–$37k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Phoenix Hope sell?

Q: How many copies did Phoenix Hope sell?

4k to 7k copies, based on its 169 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4k–7k; $14k–$37k after Steam's cut $25k–$57k before Steam's cut; from 169 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Phoenix Hope and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Phoenix Hope's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.1M–10.1M

best case 12.3M (Raft)

Games like Phoenix Hope

A typical game among these

≈ 5.1M–10.1M copies

≈ $54.1M–$112.5M after Steam's cut

from ~190k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Raft at ≈ 9.4M–15.3M copies, ≈ $51.7M–$139.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 178k reviews in their first month; the range was 86k to 182k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Survival (8 of 8) and Base-Building (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
RimWorld 2018	Est. copies ≈ 7.6M–12.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut $132.2M–$300.7M before Steam's cut	$34.99	249k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Colony SimBase-Building
Oxygen Not Included 2019	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $28.5M–$76.7M after Steam's cut $51.9M–$118.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	144k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Colony SimBase-Building
This War of Mine 2014	Est. copies ≈ 5.5M–8.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $30.1M–$81.0M after Steam's cut $54.8M–$124.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	98k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalWar
Raft 2022	Est. copies ≈ 9.4M–15.3M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $51.7M–$139.0M after Steam's cut $94.0M–$213.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	379k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalMultiplayer
Factorio 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5.9M–9.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $56.4M–$151.5M after Steam's cut $102.5M–$233.1M before Steam's cut	$35.00	236k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AutomationBase-Building
Sons Of The Forest 2024	Est. copies ≈ 8.0M–12.9M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $65.7M–$176.6M after Steam's cut $119.4M–$271.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	321k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World
Fallout Shelter 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	83k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayBase-Building
Green Hell 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.4M–$54.8M after Steam's cut $37.0M–$84.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	103k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival