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How many copies did Rise Of The White Sun - 白日升 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 19k–31k
$131k–$353k after Steam's cut $239k–$543k before Steam's cut
from 770 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rise Of The White Sun - 白日升 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rise Of The White Sun - 白日升's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 686k–969k
best case 20.7M (Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI)
Games like Rise Of The White Sun - 白日升

A typical game among these

≈ 686k–969k copies

≈ $3.6M–$15.0M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI at ≈ 15.8M–25.7M copies, ≈ $260.5M–$700.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 4X (8 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + Turn-Based, priced around $45. The breakout hits carry Historical + Addictive + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ENDLESS Space™ - Definitive Edition
2012
Est. copies
≈ 607k–987k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Strategy4X
Sid Meier's Civilization® V
2010
Est. copies
≈ 13.3M–21.7M
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$110.0M–$295.6M after Steam's cut $199.9M–$454.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
211k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Turn-Based StrategyStrategy
ENDLESS Legend™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$8.8M–$23.7M after Steam's cut $16.0M–$36.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
Strategy4X
Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.7M
28x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$260.5M–$700.4M after Steam's cut $473.7M–$1077.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
380k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Age of Wonders III
2014
Est. copies
≈ 745k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.5M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
13k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Sid Meier's Civilization® III Complete
2006
Est. copies
≈ 494k–803k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$678k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$4.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Total War: ROME REMASTERED
2021
Est. copies
≈ 342k–556k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
14k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyGrand Strategy
HUMANKIND™
2021
Est. copies
≈ 715k–1.2M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.8M–$26.4M after Steam's cut $17.9M–$40.7M before Steam's cut
$49.99
29k reviews
Mixed
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy

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