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How big is Frog Fractions: Game of the Decade Edition?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 71k–115k
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Frog Fractions: Game of the Decade Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Frog Fractions: Game of the Decade Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–2.0M
best case 4.5M (House Flipper)
Games like Frog Fractions: Game of the Decade Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–2.0M copies

≈ $7.8M–$19.1M after Steam's cut

from ~32k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: House Flipper at ≈ 3.4M–5.5M copies, ≈ $23.4M–$63.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (6 of 8) and Education (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Design & Illustration, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Design & Illustration + Relaxing + Building; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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SteamSpy 1M–2M
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AnimeNudity
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ClickerFree to Play
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NudityMature
City Car Driving
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SimulationDriving
World of Guns: Gun Disassembly
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≈ 1.1M–1.8M
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PC Building Simulator
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≈ 1.5M–2.5M
1.7x vs typical
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$8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.6M before Steam's cut
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53k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationEducation
House Flipper
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.4M–$63.0M after Steam's cut $42.6M–$96.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
112k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationDesign & Illustration

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.