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How many copies did HELLCARD sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 116k–188k
$797k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid HELLCARD and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including HELLCARD's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6k–294k
best case 2.5M (Minion Masters)
Games like HELLCARD

A typical game among these

≈ 6k–294k copies

≈ $40k–$1.6M after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Minion Masters at ≈ 1.9M–3.1M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 147 reviews in their first month; the range was 54 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Battler (5 of 8) and Deckbuilding (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Trading Card Game + Turn-Based Tactics.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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11x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
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Rogue-likeStrategy
Battle Bands: Rock & Roll Deckbuilder
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SteamSpy under 20k
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攻城与召唤 Siege and Summons 【5分钟一局 策略竞技 】
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SteamSpy 50k–100k
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Free
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MultiplayerHistorical
One Step From Eden
2020
Est. copies
≈ 190k–309k
6.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
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Very Positive
Action RoguelikeDifficult
Liberte
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
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$25k–$69k after Steam's cut $46k–$105k before Steam's cut
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187 reviews
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SingleplayerIndie
Minion Masters
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
55x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Very Positive
PvETrading Card Game
Thea 2: The Shattering
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Est. copies
≈ 62k–101k
1.8x vs typical
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Est. revenue
$429k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $780k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
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StrategyRPG
EndCycle VS
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
$4.99
103 reviews
Very Positive
Character CustomizationDeckbuilding

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.