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How many copies did Mineirinho Director's Cut sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 57k–93k
$16k–$42k after Steam's cut $28k–$64k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mineirinho Director's Cut and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mineirinho Director's Cut's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.4M–7.3M
best case 40.7M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like Mineirinho Director's Cut

A typical game among these

≈ 3.4M–7.3M copies

≈ $24.4M–$62.2M after Steam's cut

from ~88k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Anime (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 31.0M–50.3M copies, ≈ $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (4 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2019. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Doki Doki Literature Club!
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.9M–12.8M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
229k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveVisual Novel
FINAL FANTASY XIV Online
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.8M–7.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$26.4M–$71.0M after Steam's cut $48.0M–$109.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
86k reviews
Very Positive
MMORPGRPG
VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CyberpunkVisual Novel
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM 4
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.8M–$55.8M after Steam's cut $37.8M–$85.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
91k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeFighting
AdVenture Capitalist
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
60k reviews
Very Positive
ClickerIdler
TEKKEN 7
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.3M–5.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$36.2M–$97.2M after Steam's cut $65.7M–$149.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
96k reviews
Very Positive
FightingAction

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