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How many copies did Nasty Rogue sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$10k–$26k after Steam's cut $18k–$40k before Steam's cut
from 112 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nasty Rogue and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nasty Rogue's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 903–4k
best case 8k (Skeletal Avenger)
Games like Nasty Rogue

A typical game among these

≈ 903–4k copies

≈ $3k–$39k after Steam's cut

from ~60 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Skeletal Avenger at ≈ 6k–10k copies, ≈ $30k–$80k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 18 reviews in their first month; the range was 8 to 92.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (7 of 8) and Mystery Dungeon (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Exploration + Action Roguelike, priced around $17.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fears of Glasses o-o
2021
Est. copies
≈ 694–1k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$38k–$103k after Steam's cut $69k–$158k before Steam's cut
$199.99
28 reviews
Mixed
Action RoguelikeExploration
Fuzz Dungeon
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$10k before Steam's cut
$3.99
93 reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
Nova-111
2015
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$12k–$33k after Steam's cut $22k–$51k before Steam's cut
$4.99
183 reviews
Mostly Positive
SingleplayerSci-fi
The Pinball Wizard
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$17k before Steam's cut
$7.99
76 reviews
Mostly Positive
Dungeon CrawlerPinball
Skeletal Avenger
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$30k–$80k after Steam's cut $54k–$123k before Steam's cut
$16.99
256 reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationAction Roguelike
Lindwyrm
2024
Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
27 reviews
Positive
Early AccessCo-op
A Normal Home İn Ohio
2023
Est. copies
≈ 570–927
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$155–$417 after Steam's cut $282–$642 before Steam's cut
$0.99
23 reviews
Positive
ActionAdventure
Infinity Castle Dungeon
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$3.99
43 reviews
Positive
Action RoguelikeExploration

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