How much revenue did Potion Craft: Alchemist Simulator make?

$6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Potion Craft: Alchemist Simulator sell?

Q: How many copies did Potion Craft: Alchemist Simulator sell?

1.1M to 1.8M copies, based on its 45k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.1M–1.8M; $6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.3M before Steam's cut; from 45k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Potion Craft: Alchemist Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Potion Craft: Alchemist Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.7M–6.0M

best case 57.1M (Stardew Valley)

Games like Potion Craft: Alchemist Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 1.7M–6.0M copies

≈ $19.4M–$39.0M after Steam's cut

from ~91k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Simulation (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Stardew Valley at ≈ 43.5M–70.7M copies, ≈ $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 21k reviews in their first month; the range was 20k to 43k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (4 of 8) and Crafting (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Farming Sim + Life Sim, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Agriculture + Farming Sim + Life Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
DAVE THE DIVER 2023	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.6M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's cut $40.4M–$91.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	163k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsCasual
theHunter: Call of the Wild™ 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.0M–11.4M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	203k reviews Very Positive	HuntingOpen World
Kingdoms and Castles 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	32k reviews Very Positive	City Builder Colony Sim
Starbound 2016	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.1M–$56.9M after Steam's cut $38.4M–$87.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	123k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSandbox
Stardew Valley 2016	Est. copies ≈ 43.5M–70.7M 11x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut $326.2M–$742.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Farming SimPixel Graphics
Russian Fishing 4 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.7M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	91k reviews Mixed	FishingMultiplayer
Medieval Dynasty 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.5M–$33.7M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.8M before Steam's cut	$34.99	52k reviews Very Positive	CraftingBuilding
My Time at Portia 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.5M–$28.3M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	44k reviews Very Positive	Life SimRPG