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How many copies did Cartel Tycoon sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 95k–154k
$781k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cartel Tycoon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cartel Tycoon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 336k–785k
best case 4.9M (Prison Architect)
Games like Cartel Tycoon

A typical game among these

≈ 336k–785k copies

≈ $2.0M–$9.5M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Prison Architect at ≈ 3.8M–6.1M copies, ≈ $31.0M–$83.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 744 to 22k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share City Builder (5 of 8) and Sandbox (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Building, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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