How many copies did Chaos sell?

94k to 152k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Chaos make?

Chaos is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Chaos?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 94k–152k; from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Chaos and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Chaos's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 27.7M–38.9M

best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)

Games like Chaos

A typical game among these

≈ 27.7M–38.9M copies

≈ $73.2M–$119.7M after Steam's cut

from ~647k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Survival (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Survival (4 of 8) and Battle Royale (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Shooter + FPS + PvP; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Rocket League® 2015	Est. copies ≈ 28.3M–46.0M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	580k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerFootball (Soccer)
ARK: Survival Evolved 2017	Est. copies ≈ 26.8M–43.5M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	779k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Geometry Dash 2014	Est. copies ≈ 36.2M–58.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut	$4.99	647k reviews Very Positive	DifficultMusic
Wallpaper Engine 2018	Est. copies ≈ 31.0M–50.3M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut	$4.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MatureUtilities
Unturned 2017	Est. copies ≈ 19.4M–31.6M SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue Free	Free	565k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlaySurvival
Among Us 2018	Est. copies ≈ 22.8M–37.0M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $31.3M–$84.0M after Steam's cut $56.8M–$129.3M before Steam's cut	$4.99	749k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerSocial Deduction
Fall Guys 2020	Est. copies ≈ 11.6M–18.9M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	468k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerParty Game
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 95.8M–155.7M 4.3x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.8M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter