How much revenue did Gestalt: Steam & Cinder make?

$315k–$848k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Gestalt: Steam & Cinder sell?

Q: How many copies did Gestalt: Steam & Cinder sell?

57k to 93k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 57k–93k; $315k–$848k after Steam's cut $574k–$1.3M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Gestalt: Steam & Cinder and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Gestalt: Steam & Cinder's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–3.6M

best case 7.3M (Dead Cells)

Games like Gestalt: Steam & Cinder

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–3.6M copies

≈ $14.5M–$30.2M after Steam's cut

from ~53k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Dead Cells at ≈ 5.6M–9.1M copies, ≈ $38.4M–$103.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 27k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Metroidvania (6 of 8) and Souls-like (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Souls-like, priced around $32. The breakout hits carry Souls-like + Swordplay + Exploration; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ 2019	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.2M 3.3x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	176k reviews Very Positive	Action-AdventureSouls-like
ENDER LILIES: Quietus of the Knights 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.6M before Steam's cut	$24.99	46k reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaFemale Protagonist
Bloodstained: Ritual of the Night 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $13.2M–$35.6M after Steam's cut $24.1M–$54.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	42k reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaRPG
Ori and the Blind Forest 2015	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	60k reviews Very Positive	Great SoundtrackAtmospheric
Ori and the Blind Forest: Definitive Edition 2016	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $16.4M–$44.1M after Steam's cut $29.8M–$67.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	72k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AtmosphericGreat Soundtrack
STAR WARS Jedi: Survivor™ 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2.1M–3.5M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $41.3M–$111.2M after Steam's cut $75.2M–$171.0M before Steam's cut	$69.99	87k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionAdventure
ASTLIBRA Revision 2022	Est. copies ≈ 792k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	32k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RPG2D
Dead Cells 2018	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.1M 3.5x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $38.4M–$103.2M after Steam's cut $69.8M–$158.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	184k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureAction Roguelike