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How many copies did Sakuya Izayoi Gives You Advice And Dabs sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 60k–98k
$16k–$44k after Steam's cut $30k–$68k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sakuya Izayoi Gives You Advice And Dabs and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sakuya Izayoi Gives You Advice And Dabs's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 594k–943k
best case 1.1M (Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk)
Games like Sakuya Izayoi Gives You Advice And Dabs

A typical game among these

≈ 594k–943k copies

≈ $749k–$6.2M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk at ≈ 853k–1.4M copies, ≈ $349k–$939k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 163 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Visual Novel (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Psychological Horror, priced around $1.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk
2020
Est. copies
≈ 853k–1.4M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$349k–$939k after Steam's cut $635k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$1.49
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ATRI -My Dear Moments-
2020
Est. copies
≈ 584k–949k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut
$20.99
24k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime
Sally Face - Episode One
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$2.99
30k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Outcore: Desktop Adventure
2022
Est. copies
≈ 457k–743k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
18k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
missed messages.
2019
Est. copies
≈ 448k–728k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayVisual Novel
Find Love or Die Trying
2021
Est. copies
≈ 296k–481k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$406k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $739k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$4.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Dating SimVisual Novel
eden*
2015
Est. copies
≈ 257k–418k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime
CLANNAD
2015
Est. copies
≈ 538k–874k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.5M before Steam's cut
$44.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime

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